Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 9.753225 11.177754 12.693467 14.421455 16.331923 18.374610 20.718783
2025-03-02 7.440209 9.342215 11.509711 14.143197 17.235986 20.732338 24.962126
2025-03-09 5.941010 8.117365 10.756976 14.148922 18.343338 23.309926 29.581086
2025-03-16 4.742517 7.030060 9.973320 13.955804 19.113754 25.474323 33.806103
2025-03-23 4.152121 6.610171 9.937843 14.639892 20.965546 29.025012 39.893230
2025-03-30 3.514911 6.010867 9.563875 14.798696 22.098569 31.685798 44.962495
2025-04-06 2.823072 5.209749 8.790589 14.296977 22.257097 33.028985 48.336883
2025-04-13 2.245277 4.479253 8.012998 13.680222 22.162070 33.970144 51.161169
2025-04-20 2.021635 4.288524 8.024501 14.210551 23.712060 37.219018 57.232870
2025-04-27 1.930770 4.310638 8.367358 15.260344 26.069089 41.690133 65.158094
2025-05-04 1.799504 4.235968 8.534972 16.032466 28.034118 45.664191 72.510913
2025-05-11 1.573401 3.942237 8.293133 16.110980 28.920793 48.084650 77.708749
2025-05-18 1.313237 3.541779 7.830375 15.803071 29.213791 49.688034 81.866406
2025-05-25 1.106042 3.211159 7.452475 15.600712 29.653050 51.520455 86.423372
2025-06-01 0.959421 2.984264 7.239730 15.661518 30.512240 54.014527 92.037311
2025-06-08 0.810154 2.717797 6.913567 15.482464 30.947902 55.853279 96.709173
2025-06-15 0.764012 2.699340 7.088853 16.242955 33.019174 60.344339 105.574929
2025-06-22 0.675097 2.548990 6.967474 16.425469 34.088829 63.262496 112.085152
2025-06-29 0.547098 2.256730 6.497860 15.885582 33.842543 64.025023 115.232042
2025-07-06 0.432853 1.968270 5.991438 15.217521 33.310707 64.275729 117.550649
2025-07-13 0.403576 1.939920 6.090610 15.796348 35.090076 68.432749 126.230599
2025-07-20 0.404873 2.014969 6.448085 16.938805 37.966017 74.519626 138.171624
2025-07-27 0.389966 2.030358 6.658261 17.778123 40.301269 79.748653 148.833540